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Last Men And OverMen

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Twilight Zone: Republicans Won’t Let Media into Capitol, Reporters Wait for Them at the Subway

Posted on: June 22nd, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

I was just watching MSNBC and was floored when Kasey Hunt casually mentioned this as if it's the most natural thing in the world for reporters to be 'not allowed in the Capitol.' https://twitter.com/BearmanShannon/status/877896696507777025 Gee, let's just hope to catch them as they come out to catch the subway. Just recently there was a very good piece by Phillip Rucker of the Washington Post on the creeping authoritarianism of both the Trump WH and the GOP. And clearly, Mitch McConnell is second to nobody in his contempt for democracy. Greg Sargent: "IN TRUMP ERA, SECRECY IS THE NEW NORMAL: The Post has a great piece documenting that secrecy isn’t just shrouding the health-care bill; it’s also being instituted on many other fronts by the Trump administration: Officials at numerous agencies of the Trump administration have stonewalled friendly Republicans in Congress — not to mention Democrats — by declining to share internal documents on sensitive matters or...

The Senate GOP Version of Trumpcare: Deeper Cuts but Phased in More Slowly

Posted on: June 22nd, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

We knew it was bad-after all, rather than talk about it the Republicans would rather body slam reporters-but this is probably even worse than imagined: https://twitter.com/RepAdamSchiff/status/877687124979589121 No wonder Mitch McConnell won't let anyone see it. "At 11 a.m. Eastern on Thursday, the Senate will release its long-awaited health care plan. But the Washington Post obtained a draft version of the bill before its release. Here's what the Senate plan would do: • Repeal all taxes instituted by the Affordable Care Act, particularly on the wealthy • Reduce Medicaid funding in the long term • Continue to provide subsidies to help people purchase insurance • Eliminate funding for Planned Parenthood • End the requirement that all Americans have health insurance • No longer require companies with more than 50 employees to provide health insurance "Much of that is similar to the House bill, though there are notable differences. The Senate version, championed...

Despite DHS Assurances the Votes Were not Changed There Has Been no Audit of the Results

Posted on: June 22nd, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

The first question the GOP House wanted to ask Jeh Johnson-former Secretary of DHS-about was whether Russian hacking actually effected the voting results themselves. This is their way of trying to argue for his legitimacy. It's based on a flawed premise, to be sure. Even if actual voting totals were not altered, this doesn't mean the election wasn't compromised. Honestly, the Comey letter itself delegitimizes the result as per Nate Silver it swung the election and the FBI Director isn't supposed to decide the election. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ Then you have all the leaks of DNC and Podesta's emails while nothing on the Trump/GOP side and this is a tremendous advantage for Trump. "When you consider he only won by 77,000 votes in three swing states it seems a more heroic assumption to assume it didn't effect the result than that it did. But then you have the fact that Guccifer 2.0 also hacked voter...

No Mike Bloomberg, Russia Chose Trump, and We Face a Legitimacy Crisis

Posted on: June 22nd, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

Bloomberg is kidding himself if he thinks we're going  to listen to him here: "Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg said America should "get behind" President Trump because "the public has spoken, whether you like the results or not," during an appearance on ABC's "The View." http://abcnews.go.com/US/bloomberg-america-trump-public-spoken/story?id=48185506 It's not clear that America did choose Trump. That's the problem-there is a fundamental legitimacy crisis at the heart of the Trump Presidency. When you factor in 1. The Comey letter 2. Russian cyberinterference It's clear that the FBI and Russia, not the votes chose Trump. I mean as far as 1 goes, it's pretty much canonical that the Comey letter won the election for Trump. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ Then you have all the Russian interference that we've since learned was even involved in the Comey press conference back in...

In 5 Special Elections Dems Have Outperformed Districts ‘Partisan Makeup’ by an Average of 8 Points

Posted on: June 22nd, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

We touched on this point yesterday, but it deserves a lot of emphasis as some are pushing the panic button. Some are opportunistically trying to use the disappointment of the loss on-yep, Nancy Pelosi. What else is new? These folks already had it in for her, however, And what is her culpability here? Because Handel mentioned her name a lot. "Rep. Tim Ryan (D-Ohio), who unsuccessfully challenged Pelosi in House leadership elections held after the November election, said that even talented candidates cannot overcome “the toxicity of the national Democratic brand.” “It makes it a heck of a lot harder,” he said of Pelosi’s prominent place in GOP ads. “That approach still has a little bit of punch to it. It still moves voters.” "Corry Bliss, executive director of the Congressional Leadership Fund, a Republican super PAC that spent $7 million on the Georgia race, agreed." “I don’t know what we’d do without Pelosi,” he said Wednesday. “I hope she never...

Sen Mark Warner Calls Out DHS for Withholding Details on State Election Hack

Posted on: June 21st, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

  Some bombshell testimony this morning before the House Intelligence Committee: https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/877548811962503169 A question that begs: why did we hear so little about this? https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/877544245686669312 That's Obama-always Mr. Post Partisanship to a fault. https://twitter.com/KenDilanianNBC/status/877539287029436417 To be sure, if Obama should ask himself if he could have done more, Mitch McConnell should truly be ashamed of himself-but of course, has no sense of shame. He had refused to join with Obama in making a bipartisan statement. The criticism of Obama is he should have made it anyway when McConnell showed his own bad faith. Mark Warner: "Sen. Mark Warner tore into DHS Wednesday for not revealing which states Russian hackers targeted during the 2016 election, warning that its silence was making the nation less secure for upcoming elections." The department's decision to keep "secret"...

Why Despite Ossoff’s Loss Dems are in Fact on Track to Flip the House in 2018

Posted on: June 21st, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

As I argued in my last post, it's probably true that expectations in GA 6 had gotten too high. It's still a pretty red district. http://lastmenandovermen.com/2017/06/21/jon-ossoffs-concession-speech-just-beginning-something-bigger/ And this is why it's not as bad as it seems. https://twitter.com/tedlieu/status/877504087402700801?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Flastmenandovermen.com%2F2017%2F06%2F21%2Fjon-ossoffs-concession-speech-just-beginning-something-bigger%2F There's the rub. The MSM and GOP will try to spin it as 'Aha, the Democrats can't win anywhere' but these have all been some very red, tough districts we've been competing in. Nate Silver: "Where Can Democrats Win?" "Losses in Georgia and South Carolina don’t necessarily mean Democrats are going to lose in 2018." "The special election in Georgia’s 6th Congressional District on Tuesday night, where Republican Karen Handel defeated Democrat Jon Ossoff by just under 4 percentage points, will...

Jon Ossoff’s Concession Speech: This is Just the Beginning of Something Bigger

Posted on: June 21st, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

In my first two posts of this morning I first looked at the fact that whatever last night was about, it was in no way a vindication of either Trump or the GOP agenda. http://lastmenandovermen.com/2017/06/21/last-night-wasnt-vindication-trump-thats-hell-red/ In the next post I argued that we must not buy into faux GOP attacks. You must never take them as offered in good faith. After all, if they were really outraged over Bill Clinton and Monica Lewinsky, they would not be calling Donald Trump 'Mr. President' now. Sure it was genuine which explains why they call a serial sexual assault artist their President today. The GOP remains the party of Nixon. Nixon won his first race against incumbent California Democratic Congressman,  Jerry Voorhis. How did he pull it off? By calling Voorhis a Communist. After the race was over, Nixon admitted privately he know that was baloney but that You have to win. That’s what you don’t understand.  So if I don’t believe the lesson...

At Least 21 Congressional Reps are Registered to Vote Outside Their Districts

Posted on: June 21st, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

Some seem to think the reason Ossoff lost is because of the faux outrage over him living two blocks outside of his district. This I find aggravating as they are giving the GOP attacks much too much credit. They act like the faux outrage over this was genuine. Sure, it's as genuine as when they impeached Bill Clinton for sex with an intern-led by Newt Gingrich who was: having sex with an intern who in his case would become his wife. Sure it was genuine which explains why they call a serial sexual assault artist their President today. The GOP remains the party of Nixon. Nixon won his first race against incumbent California Democratic Congressman,  Jerry Voorhis. How did he pull it off? By calling Voorhis a Communist. After the race was over, Nixon admitted privately he know that was baloney but that You have to win. That's what you don't...

Last Night Wasn’t Vindication for Trump but That’s How He’ll Read it

Posted on: June 21st, 2017 by Mike Sax No Comments

It's disappointing but it's just one election. That's politics-you win some, you lose some. I did myself wonder the last few days if expectations weren't too high. For a long time you'd hear warnings that you can't read too much into special elections. But now some are reading everything into them. But though Trump and the GOP will claim vindication it's hard to see how or why: "President Trump’s hopes of steadying his presidency and his agenda on Capitol Hill were given a lift Tuesday when a Republican won a special congressional election in the Atlanta suburbs." "Republican Karen Handel defeated Democrat Jon Ossoff in Georgia’s 6th Congressional District, retaining a seat that has been in GOP hands since 1979 after a grueling, four-month campaign that earned the distinction of being the most expensive House race in history." "Handel won by almost 11,000 votes and by more than four percentage points, and Ossoff failed to reach the 48 percent mark that he topped in...