To Give Herr Trump a ‘Win’ GOP is Putting House Majority at Risk
This is what comes from wanting a ‘win’ at any cost. Evidently, now even the GOP Senators are encouraging the House to ‘just pass something’-anything.
“Getting that bill out of there no matter what it says or what’s in it should probably be the No. 1 priority of the House leadership,” said a Republican senator. “If you’re a House leader, [the Senate] is probably not what you should be worrying about on health care.”
This is a long way from when they were so worried about passing something before reading it back in 2010. Now just getting the bill out no matter what it says or what’s in it is the priority. They are pointedly not even doing a CBO score on it as they know the numbers will be terrible.
And in a way you understand what’s happening here-if after all these years of foaming at the mouth over Obamacare, they can’t abolish it, then what’s the point of them even being there? It kinds of shows they have no credibility.
But this bill is so bad-worse than the first one-that they may soon realize that there are worse things than failing to pass a bad, very bad, awful, no good bill; like passing it.
A recorded vote tomorrow will cement healthcare as No. 1 issue in the midterms and be a career-ender for many House Republicans who vote yes
— Brian Fallon (@brianefallon) May 3, 2017
It is going to give Democrats a very salient 2018 issue. This is why a lot of Dems secretly think it could be the best of all worlds if this does go through the House.
Of course, that’s only if it fails in the Senate.
“This bill needs to be decisively put out of its misery. Yes, I suppose Democrats might benefit by forcing vulnerable House members to vote for it, and then killing it in the Senate, but that’s not worth the risk that, somehow, it might actually pass if it gets through the House. You never know. Best to make it crystal clear that there’s simply no needle Republicans can thread on this subject.”
So does it fail in the Senate? As suggested by the quotes above, many Senators are hoping to make changes on it and send it back to the House. The timeline will be slow however:
“There’s some concerns there,” Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) said of preserving protections for people with pre-existing conditions. “I’m hoping we don’t rush it.”
“Most senators agree. After McConnell vowed to jam Obamacare repeal through the Senate before the Easter recess during the last go-round, Republicans are preparing to proceed cautiously and deliberately.”
“Senators are not planning on a vote in May. It may take even longer.”
“The activist base is pushing hard. I don’t care about pressure; I can take all the pressure they want to put on me,” said Sen. Orrin Hatch of Utah. “We’d like to get it done before the end of July. No question.”
“But even if McConnell can get 50 of his 52 GOP senators to vote for a bill, there’s no guarantee that the House would swallow what the Senate sends back. That has some Republicans thinking that perhaps all the effort isn’t worth it.”
“I just don’t see how you square the circle here. Some of the things the Freedom Caucus wants probably won’t make it through the Senate. I think Rand Paul’s a no, no matter what,” said Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.). “I’d just let the damn thing collapse … and challenge the Democrats to help fix it.”
Sometimes there are worse things than not getting a win. Trump and the GOP will discover that if they do pass this.
That’s how the Tuesday Group feels right now:
“Republican Rep. Tom MacArthur might have singlehandedly saved the Obamacare repeal effort.”
“But rather than being hailed as a hero, the New Jersey lawmaker has come under fire from GOP centrists, who are incensed he negotiated with Freedom Caucus ringleader Mark Meadows.”
“Moderates in recent days have cornered MacArthur, a leader of the centrist Tuesday Group, on the House floor or in hallways to air their gripes. “You are going to make us lose the majority,” one said, according to MacArthur.”
“MacArthur’s Tuesday Group colleagues have even suggested they might oust him as leader, as The Hill first reported. MacArthur has become so toxic within the group that he’s intentionally stayed out of final negotiations this week, as leaders try to cajole dozens of centrists to accept the deal he brokered with conservatives.”
“My amendment has caused far more of a stir than I anticipated,” MacArthur said in an interview Wednesday. “And I made the judgment that I think for me, particularly with the moderates, it’s better if I stay out of the way at the moment.”
As bad as it is for MacArthur now, it will be worse for every single GOPer that votes for this bill later.
P.S. As we saw in my poll out last week, the long awaited poll results are in, and right now I’m just 11 points down vs. Peter King (GOP-NY-District 2). And the voters don’t even know who I am yet.
There is nothing more important in getting answers to Trump-Russia collusion than a Democratic House in 2019. Please donate to help me in my part of the effort to fight for a Dem House.
Thank you. We must have a Dem House. And so, we will.