No Mike Bloomberg, Russia Chose Trump, and We Face a Legitimacy Crisis
Bloomberg is kidding himself if he thinks we’re going to listen to him here:
“Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg said America should “get behind” President Trump because “the public has spoken, whether you like the results or not,” during an appearance on ABC’s “The View.”
It’s not clear that America did choose Trump. That’s the problem-there is a fundamental legitimacy crisis at the heart of the Trump Presidency. When you factor in
1. The Comey letter
2. Russian cyberinterference
It’s clear that the FBI and Russia, not the votes chose Trump. I mean as far as 1 goes, it’s pretty much canonical that the Comey letter won the election for Trump.
Then you have all the Russian interference that we’ve since learned was even involved in the Comey press conference back in July.
Trump won by 77,000 votes in three swing states and 1 was more than enough to account for that. Then you factor in 2. Sorry, when the refs were paid off homilies about ‘The people have spoken’ don’t add up.
Even Bloomberg himself touches on the problem:
“Bloomberg joked that Trump had “a little help from the Russians” in the 2016 election.”
Right, but doesn’t he see that this ‘Little help from the Russians’ undercuts his whole ‘The people chose Trump’ narrative?
His very legitimacy is open to question, we face a legitmacy crisis in the Oval Office. We know he got Russian help and don’t even know for sure that he and his campaign didn’t assist the Russian subversion.
But this argument
1. Yes the Comey letter swung the election
2. Yes Russia interfered on a massive scale that included even hacking into state voter files and systems
3. No, we can’t say definitively that Trump didn’t coordinate with this Russian interference
4. But ‘The people chose Trump’
just doesn’t work. Until we can say yes to 3, there’s just no question of saying 4. And even if we could it still couldn’t really be confident of 4 as 1 and 2 would still throw it into doubt-just that somehow Trump got very lucky.
But that’s not too plausible-‘Russia, are you listening?’
So there is a legitimacy crisis in this country and we must figure out 3. But if Bloomberg thinks he can will us back to business as usual, he’s kidding himself.
Sorry, but as long as we keep getting multiple headlines like this every single day, no one is going to buy, ‘The people chose Trump.’
— Jake Tapper (@jaketapper) June 22, 2017
Then there is the issue of whether Russian hackers actually altered the results of the election. Jeh Johnson gave a very couched answer ‘I’ve seen no evidence of that’ far from a no.
But that’s the subject of my next post. Stay tuned.
Off topic, but on the subject of Dems coming in off the ledge on Ossoff’s narrow loss, Howard Dean:
“Howard Dean: Georgia special election result points to Democrats easily retaking the House in 2018.”
“Howard Dean, the former Governor of Vermont and the former DNC Chair, tends to call it like he sees it. After the twin special elections in extremely red districts in Georgia and South Carolina this week, some on the left were disappointed that the Democrats were unable to win either race. But Dean pointed to the mathematical reality of what those results mean.”
“In November, Republican House candidate Tom Price won the GA-06 by a twenty-one point margin. But this week Republican House candidate Karen Handel won that same district around four points. That shift of seventeen points in favor of the Democrats, along with a similar shift in the South Carolina district, makes clear that Donald Trump’s toxic unpopularity is poisoning the Republicans in these races. It also makes clear that the Democrats are making unprecedented gains and are clearly doing something right.”
This was a point I tried to make yesterday-the proper comparison is not HRC’s 3 point loss to Trump in the district but Tom Price’s 21 point win. This means that the GOP has lost 17 points thanks to Herr Trump.
Based on the benchmarks of the partisan makeup of these districts these results have been very good news for the Dems:
“Howard Dean pointed to this math in terms of how it applies to the midterms: “Looking at House races, Dems win 50 seats in 2018 if our candidates close the gap as much as these two did” (link). He then retweeted Jessica O’Donnell, the CEO of the DNC, after she pointed out that “Democrats need to win 24 House seats to take back the House. There are 71 seats bluer than GA 6.” (link). In other words, there is only one knowledgeable way to interpret this week’s special election results: it’s fantastic news for the Democrats, and a nightmare scenario for the Republicans. And it’s not only the Democrats who see it that way.”
“Richard Painter, a straight shooting Republican pundit, put it thusly: “RNC/RCCC never approve cabinet nomination of a House or Senate member who does not have a very safe R seat. Keeping it should be pg. 6 news” (link). In other words, the Republican Party only allowed those two seats to be vacated because the resulting special elections were supposed to be automatic blowout victories. Instead, the GOP collapsed in both of those “safe” districts – and similar sized collapse in the 2018 midterms will mean an overwhelming majority for the Democrats.”
Indeed, if the GOPers are really as happy as they are publicly claiming they’re in a lot of trouble. So why did the immediate narrative cut that this was terrible news for the Dems? You know, Ossoff wasn’t from the district-he lived 2 blocks outside of it-and that fiendish Nancy Pelosi did this?
Basically they failed to manage expectations.
Yes-I had thought going in that the Dems had let expectations get out of hand with Ossoff
— mike sax (@evilsax) June 22, 2017
The news the last few days made it sound as if Ossoff was a 10 point favorite. So Dems can use some work managing expectations. But, that’s nothing but short term headlines. In the big picture the Dems are actually very much on track. And, yes, regular readers know I hope to join the 2019 Democratic majority in racing vs. Peter King (NY2).
P.S. So the Gravis poll against Peter King NY2 and it has good news-almost too good to believe.
In my March poll I trailed King by 11 and thought that was very good news. Now Gravis has me up by 10? Still, the moment of truth is next week when Gravis writes up the press release.
I can use any help I can get at this point-volunteers or supporters who live in NY 2. Donations whatever your zip code. These days we can’t just support a local Dem we need a Dem Congress. Which is why I’ve donated few hundred to Jon Ossoff.
Please donate to help me in my part of the effort to fight for a Dem House-$5 or $10 can do so much.
If you feel that you can’t I, of course, understand-who is rich these days? But please do me one favor: ask yourself privately, mentally, if you really can’t spare $5 dollars. If you can honestly say you can’t, no worries.
We can have a Dem Congress, we must have a Dem Cogress, and we will.
Thank you. We must have a Dem House. And so, we will.