Trumpcare in Trouble?
Arkansas GOP Senator Tom Cotton has already warned the House GOP not to move too fast-indeed, that they should start over, and put together a bill that can pass the House.
But Paul Ryan and friends seem not to want to heed Cotton’s warning. Of course, Cotton’s state puts the lie in Ryan’s Chicken Little warning about Obamacare imploding and how ‘This is a mission of mercy.’
We don’t need Paul Ryan to rescue us, we need rescuing from Paul Ryan. In Arkansas, they’ve had the biggest drop in the level of the uninsured in the nation.
But James Carville argued on Chris Hayes the other night that Ryan and friends feel they have no choice. If they have a prayer of destroying Obamacare they have to ‘ram it through in the dead of night’-the very thing they charged Democrats of doing on Obamacare. And the Democrats didn’t pass ACA overnight-it took 14 months.
There’s no doubt that Trumpcare’s fate in the Senate is iffy. But Ryan’s gambit seems to be ‘Let’s just pass it in the House and hope for the best later.’
But there are signs he may have a difficult time even in the House.
“Conservative demands threaten to derail Obamacare repeal.”
“President Trump has welcomed changes to the measure — but the conservative wish list could sap moderate GOP support.”
“Hill conservatives were just handed the opening they’ve been waiting for: An invitation from President Donald Trump to “negotiate” on an Obamacare replacement.”
“There’s just one big problem: They’re all over the place on what they want.”
“The discord on the far-right is becoming a real problem for Republicans. Allies of GOP leadership say Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) and his team can’t assemble a bill that can pass the House if conservatives keep moving the goal posts on what exactly it will take to secure their votes.”
If Ryan can’t even get this passed in the House, he ought to just quit. Meanwhile Trump is doing what he does best-sending mixed signals:
“President Donald Trump’s early efforts to court conservatives opposed to the GOP’s Obamacare replacement is backfiring in Congress — emboldening the far right to demand changes that could repel centrists critical to its passage.”
“While the president has given a full-throated endorsement of the bill, he’s also suggested he’s open to “negotiations.” The mixed signals have allowed hard-line conservatives and leadership to hear what they want to hear. Each side is taking Trump’s words and arguing he’s in their corner.”
“Take the president’s message to outside conservative groups during a Wednesday night meeting at the White House. The president indicated he might be willing to change the GOP health plan so that Obamacare’s Medicaid expansion is phased out a year or two more quickly. GOP critics in Congress took the president’s statement and ran with it, crafting an amendment to codify ending the Medicaid expansion at the end of this year rather than 2019.”
The change would “go a long way toward getting conservatives to support the bill,” said Rep. Joe Barton (R-Texas), a member of the Republican Study Committee and the House Freedom Caucus.
But there’s the beauty of it. What will make conservatives more likely to support the bill, makes moderates in the Senate less likely to.
As for Trump I get it that he needs a win but if this is really unpopular-which is likely-he’d be better off without it.
Does he know that? Ironic that he ran as the one Republican who doesn’t want to see people ‘die in the streets’ and now his bill, Trumpcare, is all about the freedom to die in the streets.
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