How Many Republicans Does it Take to Raise the Debt Ceiling?
We will get to find out soon, but my guess, is more than the number of monkeys it takes to screw in a light bulb.
Or it’s like the riddle: can you start fire by rubbing two sticks together? Yes-if one of them isa match. The GOP can get to 218 votes on the debt ceiling if over half of the votes are from Democrats.
“The tax overhaul can wait, and it’s going to have to.”
“For the Republican government that so phenomenally flopped its first big attempt at policymaking, a much more basic test of governance looms in the next month — and another failure seems hardly a politically acceptable option.”
“The current hodgepodge stopgap spending law expires at midnight April 28. Thanks to the coming two-week congressional spring recess, that leaves just 13 legislative working days after Tuesday to enact another continuing resolution or else absorb the nation’s rage — not to mention a financial market swoon — at the inconveniences and global embarrassment wrought by more gridlock and incompetence.”
“April 29 is a Saturday, so the doors to most federal agencies will be closed anyway, but if national parks are padlocked and passport services suspended then it will be lost on nobody who’s inconvenienced that it’s also the 100th day of Trump’s presidency.”
How fitting that the day the debt ceiling expires is the 100th day of Trump Presidency? That’s a month away, and his popularity is already at 36%.
No doubt the healthcare fiasco hasn’t helped.
Here’s the question: Will Ryan try to do it with the Hastert Rule-which held that only bills that have the majority of the majority make it to the floor?
“If Trump and the majority leadership seek to get the bill through the House with only Republican votes, that means counting on 91-percent party unity. But is there a funding prescription that won’t be spurned, as the health care bill was, not only by a nearly dispositive bloc on the far right but also by some in the center?”
“And even if an elusive formula is found that commands sufficient all-Republican support in the House, what reason is there to believe any Democratic senator (let alone eight of them) will get it over its inevitable filibuster hurdle?”
“They’ve got to re-examine how they’re trying to govern,” Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer told reporters Friday. “They can’t govern from an ideological perspective, the hard-right ideological perspective. It’s just not going to work.”
“But what if the drafters’ choose to take Schumer’s advice and ignore the very-difficult-to-meet demands of the House Freedom Caucus and their confrontational allies in the Senate? That means writing a bill that could first pass with about 200 or so House GOP mainstreamers finding common cause with 20 or so Democratic moderates — then getting through the Senate with perhaps no more than 45 GOP votes supplemented by at least 15 Democrats.”
“And that’s a very ambitious level of bipartisanship to assume given the degree to which House Democrats are delighting in their triumph from saying a unanimous “no” to the Trump health care agenda — and how angry Senate Democrats are sure to be if their blockade of Gorsuch is broken through use of the “nuclear option.”
It’s simple. If you want to raise the debt ceiling you have to be willing to do it with Democratic support. Here’s what that might look like:
“Whatever course Trump, Ryan and McConnell agree on, it seems very likely to begin with this decision: The internal GOP ideological schisms, and the unilateral Democratic opposition, make it fruitless to pursue what the president said he wanted from the midyear bill: $33 billion in extra funding for the military and border security, offset with $18 billion in unspecified cuts to nondefense programs.”
“All Democrats, but plenty of Republicans as well, object to any reduction in domestic spending for the current year, which is already halfway over. All Democrats, but plenty of Republicans as well, object to raising the statutory cap on military spending without doing the same for nondefense spending.”
“Some Republicans say the boost for the military is insufficient, but at least as many view it as unnecessarily generous in light of their commitment to fiscal restraint. And they probably have the votes to prevent any skirting of congressional accounting rules to decree that this year’s Pentagon boost would not count toward the budget caps. (When he was in the House, a leading opponent of such budgetary gimmickry was Mick Mulvaney, now Trump’s budget office director .)”
“In the end, the best hope for Trump may be to rely on the Republicans who assembled the current CR, a relatively straightforward extension of existing policies that sailed through Congress with relatively little fuss — and with a remarkable degree of bipartisan support. Three-quarters of Republicans backed it in the House and Senate, but so did two-thirds of the House Democrats and half the Senate Democrats.”
P.S. As we saw in my poll out last week, the long awaited poll results are in, and right now I’m just 11 points down vs. Peter King (GOP-NY-District 2). And the voters don’t even know who I am yet.
There is nothing more important in getting answers to Trump-Russia collusion than a Democratic House in 2019. Please donate to help me in my part of the effort to fight for a Dem House.
Thank you. We must have a Dem House. And so, we will