Does Trump Realize There’s Still a Senate Vote?
His-and Paul Ryan’s-unseemly spiking of the ball also had a truly pathetic aspect.
I mean a Rose Garden party just for passing it in the House. That should have been the easy part. And even that only by 4 votes. Talk about walking plank. But the hard part starts now.
“Senate GOP rejects House Obamacare bill.”
‘Any bill that has been posted less than 24 hours … needs to be viewed with suspicion,’ Sen. Lindsey Graham says.”
The Senate GOPers aren’t exactly excited over TrumpCare.
After all the energy the House just expended on ramming through its Obamacare repeal, the Senate is about to start over.
“We’re writing a Senate bill and not passing the House bill,” said Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn). “We’ll take whatever good ideas we find there that meet our goals.”
“If the Senate GOP writes a very different bill, then the GOP will be in the position of having to negotiate in a Conference call. How do you bring in the Freedom Caucus in the House with the more moderate Senate bill-that may exist in the future?”
“They need to end up with a bill that can win over 50 of the 52 GOP senators in the narrowly divided chamber. And even if they accomplish that, their bill could be unpalatable to House conservatives. The House bill squeaked through on a 217-213 vote.”
And remember, no matter what they come up with in the Senate, Rand Paul is a no. That’s 51 Senators. From there you have Susan Collins, Olympia Snowe.
Yet Trump and Ryan are partying like they just scored the game winning touchdown. When it’s still the 2nd quarter.
“Like y’all, I’m still waiting to see if it’s a boy or a girl,” said Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.). “Any bill that has been posted less than 24 hours, going to be debated three or four hours, not scored? Needs to be viewed with suspicion.”
“The Senate GOP has been preparing for health care to land in its lap, but only in the most general fashion and with little input from the House. Two key House committee chairmen briefed the entire GOP caucus on the lower chamber’s plans in March, but there has been nothing equivalent since then.”
“I turned the volume off some time ago and have no idea what the House is even passing,” Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) said shortly before the House vote was scheduled.
“Alexander is meeting with a working group ranging in ideology from conservative Texas Sen. Ted Cruz — who led the creation of the bloc, sources said — to the more centrist Ohio Sen. Rob Portman, some of whom huddled with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) on Thursday. McConnell said Thursday that the House vote was “an important step,” but the Senate won’t move forward on anything until the parliamentarian and CBO review the bill.”
“They’re holding preliminary discussions of how to remake the House’s plan to gut Obamacare’s Medicaid expansion by 2020, shrink and reshape the tax credits that subsidize insurance, and allow insurers to charge more — potentially much more — to sick people than healthy people. That could effectively price people with pre-existing medical problems out of the market, which polls show is highly unpopular.”
They also aren’t interested in ‘artificial deadlines’ in the Senate.
“Almost all of those provisions worry many members in the more moderate upper chamber. Senate Republicans are considering staunching the coverage losses projected under the House by altering the Medicaid repeal, making tax credits more generous and strengthening protections for people with pre-existing conditions.”
“There will be no artificial deadlines in the Senate. We’ll move with a sense of urgency but we won’t stop until we think we have it right.” said Alexander, who will be a leading figure in the Senate’s overhaul effort.
The bottomline is: TrumpCare is DOA in the Senate:
“News flash: This bill is dead in the Senate. Statements from Republican senators poured in after the House passed the bill, with the conventional wisdom holding that the Senate would draft its own plan to replace the Affordable Care Act.”
And the Senate will look at the CBO score. Which will be ugly. Trump wants the Senate to pick up his bill and insists they will. But reality has never been Trump’s thing:
“Trump really wants the Senate to take up this bill. In a celebration at the White House, Trump made it sound as if passage of the AHCA in the upper chamber is a foregone conclusion. “It’s going to be an unbelievable victory when we get it through the Senate and there’s so much spirit there,” Trump said. That “unbelievable victory” is likely to stall at the lower chamber, but that doesn’t mean GOP senators will not face intense pressure to keep a promise they’ve made for seven years: that they will “repeal and replace” the Affordable Care Act.”
“Take Republican senators at their word that they will work seriously on their own health care bill. But don’t count on it happening quickly, and don’t count on compromise with the House. Sens. Susan Collins (R-Maine) and Rob Portman (R-Ohio) could not be further apart from the House Freedom Caucus on health care. With a Republican majority of two votes in the Senate, that could bring everything to a grinding halt.”
And remember Rand Paul is a no-regardless of what they come up with. So you start from 51 votes.
Then there are the political consequences.
— Stephen Wolf (@PoliticsWolf) May 4, 2017
Yep, Trump is going to learn soon that:
1. He hasn’t ‘won’ yet.
2. There are worst things than not getting a win.
P.S. As we saw in my poll out last week, the long awaited poll results are in, and right now I’m just 11 points down vs. Peter King (GOP-NY-District 2). And the voters don’t even know who I am yet.
There is nothing more important in getting answers to Trump-Russia collusion than a Democratic House in 2019. Please donate to help me in my part of the effort to fight for a Dem House.
Thank you. We must have a Dem House. And so, we will.