‘We Have Three Major Voter Suppression Operations Underway.’ Trump 2016 Campaign
In the last post, we talked about the Trump campaign digital director, Brad Parscale and the fact that the House Intelligence Committee wants to talk to him.
“Julian Assange: Dear Hillary, I miss reading your classified emails” On the wall of Trump campaign October 2016
Funny enough Julian Assange is also in the news-his own documentary filmmakers accuse him of censorship.
Tom Clancy died in 2013 and so doesn’t get to see this. What would he have said if he did? Maybe he died at the right time, as how could even a great writer compete with reality today? About the only true statement of Jeff Sessions at his Senate hearing is that we are through the Looking Glass.
As for voter suppression, it’s important to understand the key to Trump’s campaign strategy. It was less a ‘get out the vote’ strategy than a ‘Don’t get out the vote’ strategy-for Democrats.
His strategy was plain: disgust people with the process so much that they’ll just throw up their hands and stay home. His reasoning is if he drags her into the mud with her many will blame her for being dirty.
Remember when Trump thanks Black voters for not voting? That was no throwaway line-he meant it sincerely.
“During a “thank you” rally Thursday night in Hershey, Pennsylvania, President-elect Donald Trump thanked various groups of people for his expected Electoral College victory over Hillary Clinton. Among them were African Americans, but Trump acknowledged them for a reason you might not expect — he specifically thanked those who didn’t turn out to vote at all.”
“And they’re smart and they picked up on it like you wouldn’t believe. And you know what else? They didn’t come out to vote for Hillary. They didn’t come out. And that was a big — so thank you to the African American community.”
This was by design. We have Roger Stone’s boasting of widely disseminating the unfounded allegation that Bill Clinton had an illegitimate Black son he refused to see.
Stone is not shy about taking credit for suppressing the Black vote. From his interview at The Intercept.
“In the book’s appendix, you cite traffic figures for the propagation of the meme around Danney Williams, who continues to claim that he is Bill Clinton’s secret love child.”
“Frankly, I think anybody who has seen the multiple videos will say that Danney and his mother and his aunt make a pretty compelling argument. Remember, this isn’t a court of law. This is the court of public opinion. Obviously, many African-American voters believe that Danney is Bill’s son. As I show in the book, in the places targeted [with the Williams meme by the Trump campaign], African-American voter participation was down overall, and Clinton’s share was off from her national averages.”
As for Jared Kushner and his digital guy, Brad Parscale, that was their memo-get out their voters, but especially get her voters to stay home.
“To compensate for this, Trump’s campaign has devised another strategy, which, not surprisingly, is negative. Instead of expanding the electorate, Bannon and his team are trying to shrink it. “We have three major voter suppression operations under way,” says a senior official. They’re aimed at three groups Clinton needs to win overwhelmingly: idealistic white liberals, young women, and African Americans. Trump’s invocation at the debate of Clinton’s WikiLeaks e-mails and support for the Trans-Pacific Partnership was designed to turn off Sanders supporters. The parade of women who say they were sexually assaulted by Bill Clinton and harassed or threatened by Hillary is meant to undermine her appeal to young women. And her 1996 suggestion that some African American males are “super predators” is the basis of a below-the-radar effort to discourage infrequent black voters from showing up at the polls—particularly in Florida.”
“On Oct. 24, Trump’s team began placing spots on select African American radio stations. In San Antonio, a young staffer showed off a South Park-style animation he’d created of Clinton delivering the “super predator” line (using audio from her original 1996 sound bite), as cartoon text popped up around her: “Hillary Thinks African Americans are Super Predators.” The animation will be delivered to certain African American voters through Facebook “dark posts”—nonpublic posts whose viewership the campaign controls so that, as Parscale puts it, “only the people we want to see it, see it.” The aim is to depress Clinton’s vote total. “We know because we’ve modeled this,” says the official. “It will dramatically affect her ability to turn these people out.”
“The Trump team’s effort to discourage young women by rolling out Clinton accusers and drive down black turnout in Miami’s Little Haiti neighborhood with targeted messages about the Clinton Foundation’s controversial operations in Haiti is an odd gambit. Campaigns spend millions on data science to understand their own potential supporters—to whom they’re likely already credible messengers—but here Trump is speaking to his opponent’s. Furthermore, there’s no scientific basis for thinking this ploy will convince these voters to stay home. It could just as easily end up motivating them.”
Note that we’re only talking about ‘soft voter suppression’ here-where through relentless mudslinging and disinformation you disgust people into staying home
And let’s face it, it worked too well. Too many young people allowed themselves to become discouraged. Remember Colin Kapernick’s very unhelpful-and factually inaccurate-statement:It’s a race between a liar and a racist.
It seems that in some ways negative partisanship favors the GOP. The young idealistic liberal types chafe at the notion of ‘voting for the lesser of two evils.’ The Democrat leaning independents tend to care mostly about liberal ideology. Republican leaning independents are more motivated by negative partisanship-‘Yes the Republican party is crummy but the Democrats are way worse. We have to stop those coastal elites from ever getting power.’
All this played right into the Roger Stone book of voter suppression:
“The fourth, and one of the most effective, is through fragmentation of the vote. There is, say, overwhelming support for candidate A, who will raise the minimum wage, versus candidate B, who won’t. You split this overwhelming vote by funding another candidate, who wants to raise the minimum wage even higher, and who chastises candidate A for compromising their principles and being beholden to business interests for not asking for a higher wage. Through a vote split, candidate B, the one who says he believes the condition of workers must be improved, but not through easy sounding solutions like a higher minimum wage, scores a victory. At the same time, you make great efforts to keep the votes for your own candidate or issue from being fragmented. The fifth is vote suppression, of black and latino voters, who tend to poll democrat. The first four have been employed in elections that Stone has been involved in, with Stone often taking credit. The fifth has been employed alongside Stone’s efforts, though perhaps without the collusion of Stone.”
Actually, pace some of what we know even from public knowledge of Stone’s conversations with Guccifer 2.0, he may have dabbled in the fifth this time as well.
But the fourth, voter fragmentation is key. Think of it this way:
1. One third of the country wants a $15 minimum wage
2. One third wants $12 MW
3. One third thinks the MW of $7.25 is already too high.
Two thirds of the country want a MW of at least $12, but the third that wants it lower wins. That’s the magic of voter fragmentation.
On the Thursday, before the election-just 5 days away-I asked a young Black millennial trainer at my gym if he was going to vote. His answer was-‘Hell naw! Our vote doesn’t count.’
After I questioned him he revealed he did vote for Obama in 2008 but for no one since.
The next Thursday-two days after the election-he was shouting at the tv set in outrage as he watched the video of Obama and Donald Trump shaking hands in the Oval Office. Here was the man who insulted him, slandered him, claimed he wasn’t even an American and not therefore not a legitimate to be President shaking hands with President Obama.
So, yes, Sean was angry. Understandably so. But… I had to point it out to him:
But Sean, you didn’t even vote for her!
He dismissed this, arguing that since this is NY it made no difference. Earlier I had spoken with a young white millennial trainer. He too was shocked Trump won. But, yeah, he admitted, he wrote in Bernie.
Thank you for not voting.
P.S. So the Gravis poll against Peter King NY2 and it has good news-almost too good to believe.
In my March poll I trailed King by 11 and thought that was very good news. Now Gravis has me up by 10? Still, the moment of truth is next week when Gravis writes up the press release.
And-yes-I do need donations if I have any hope of bringing around the local party to seeing that I am the chance to break out of the party’s long losing streak against King.
Whether you live in NY 2 or across the country, you can donate. As yourself whether you cannot afford even $5 or $10 dollars.
There is nothing more important in getting answers to Trump-Russia collusion than a Democratic House in 2019. Peter King is on the House intelligence committee. I think we all know that he will never be any part of the solution for getting to the bottom of Trump Russia.
Please donate to help me in my part of the effort to fight for a Dem House.
We can have a Dem Congress, we must have a Dem Cogress, and we will.
Thank you. We must have a Dem House. And so, we will.